Who benefits from a high turnout? | Minority opinion
(CBS from voting percentages presented do not usually consider Israelis who lived in the country population of england during the election period, and the real percentages are higher, although population of england the same trend). Upcoming elections in the country appeared initiatives that aim to increase voter turnout elections, such as the Facebook group "80% Voting. "According to the group page on Facebook:
Why there is a 80% vote in Israel? The past decade has seen an alarming and dangerous trend in Israeli democracy - decision not to vote in elections. To illustrate - in the 1999 elections, the voter turnout was 79%. A decade later, in the last elections in 2009, voter turnout was 65% only! Democratic population of england implications of e-voting are dramatic population of england and makes the entry of relatively impossible population of england not represent the real division in Israeli society. Whole sectors of the population will have unprecedented power in the Knesset, out of all proportion to the power and true to their population, while others remain fair representation. Therefore population of england we decided to try and combat this alarming phenomenon by running an Internet campaign, try to move as many of the citizens of Israel go out to vote and to correct the distortion of democracy. The campaign is a private enterprise and not be involved in any political or commercial entities. The entire campaign is based on the goodwill of volunteers who wish to participate in this campaign, a short but incredibly important.
Simulation of one hundred percent voting turnout in Israel vary by region and different population groups. Haredim traditionally have higher than average voter turnout, whereas the Arabs are lower than average. population of england To examine who benefits from an increase in the percentage of voting accurately, I decided to use detailed data about the level of ballot elections to the 18th, which I downloaded from here. My calculation is quite simple: I calculate the percentage of the vote in any polling, population of england and checks how many votes each party receives was he had a 100% voting population of england ballot, for all polling stations in the country, assuming that the distribution of votes was maintained in all the cards. population of england For example, let's population of england say at the ballot box Msoimmt registered 100 eligible voters, of whom 50 voted, 30 workers and 20 - Likud. Voter turnout is 50%. I divide the number of votes in the percentage of the vote, and get to work and 60 votes - 40 votes Likud for that ballot. The calculation can be seen in the attached Excel file here. The main assumption in the calculation population of england and the most problematic, is that the distribution of votes in each ballot has been retained voting percentage was increased to 100%. That is, in each voting area in the country, the views of those who did not vote like the views of those who do vote. This assumption can be very problematic if I were performing the test the city or county level, but as I make it to the polling station level, the neighborhood level, is somewhat less problematic. Discounts and other problems: not be deemed as consent surpluses of various kinds of parties, and therefore numbers of MKs about the true results of the election are wrong (for example, work has 13 seats, and March 3, and 12 and 4 - as shown in the table below), the results are the results of previous elections . the political map current bit different, so it is unclear how much can learn from the increase in the percentage of voting leads to the polls to 100% vote. This is not necessarily population of england realistic. example, a campaign 80% runs mainly on Facebook, and so is likely population of england to affect users of Facebook in the lower population than the upper which will affect some members of a Bedouin tribe in the Negev
Number of mandates received rounding, so the results for a few different than the results in percentages (column number of seats by the simulation comes down to not - but the MK 120 - 119, for the same reason.) Shows that the gain from an increase in the minimum threshold are Arab parties , Lieberman's population of england party, and the Front. Main losers are Kadima, Labor and United Torah Judaism. These somewhat surprising results; I expected that it was the ultra-Orthodox will be the losers move, but voter turnout among Shas voters apparently not so high. Overall picture does not change dramatically the vote, suggesting that the distribution of votes at the polls with a low voter turnout was not very different population of england from the distribution percentages polls high vote (when you factor in the numerical size of the polls).
Whether, in light of these data, we are interested in the percentage of the vote? There are people who representativeness and democratic values are superior to them, and for them the answer is positive regardless of the consequences. Others might be a little more concerned that the voting percentage growth population of england mainly increases the power of the far-left parties and the power of Lieberman (perhaps because voter turnout was low in the polls with a majority Russian). Despite the problem of the calculation, I think the results of which are still interesting, and contribute to the discussion on voter turnout in the State of Israel. Personally I of course support a zero percent vote and an absolute dictatorship under my leadership, but I have the feeling that the citizens of Israel are not yet ready to such a plan.
:-)
First, by simulation, the main beneficiaries are (except Lieberman, too) Hadash, United Arab List and Balad. It makes sense that the main reason is to reduce the percentage of the vote the least participation of Israeli-Palestinian elections, since the events of October in a sense, Since the election, they are relative to the sounds kosher, anyone population of england who suggests "giving voice" to all parties equally passed the threshold, so yes, indicate when it detracts from all the other parties.
Secondly, as you mentioned, there is a problematic assumption, the vote by city remains unaffected by 100% vote. This assumption the opposite assumption-not-an-based leftists of encouraging voting, non-voters that tend to the center and left. So if they do vote, vote by city changed as well.
Third, my conclusion remains larger participation can indeed change the results, "left", but only if the change will come M"hmgzr Arab. " To this end, the campaign needs to get out from Facebook Ha
(CBS from voting percentages presented do not usually consider Israelis who lived in the country population of england during the election period, and the real percentages are higher, although population of england the same trend). Upcoming elections in the country appeared initiatives that aim to increase voter turnout elections, such as the Facebook group "80% Voting. "According to the group page on Facebook:
Why there is a 80% vote in Israel? The past decade has seen an alarming and dangerous trend in Israeli democracy - decision not to vote in elections. To illustrate - in the 1999 elections, the voter turnout was 79%. A decade later, in the last elections in 2009, voter turnout was 65% only! Democratic population of england implications of e-voting are dramatic population of england and makes the entry of relatively impossible population of england not represent the real division in Israeli society. Whole sectors of the population will have unprecedented power in the Knesset, out of all proportion to the power and true to their population, while others remain fair representation. Therefore population of england we decided to try and combat this alarming phenomenon by running an Internet campaign, try to move as many of the citizens of Israel go out to vote and to correct the distortion of democracy. The campaign is a private enterprise and not be involved in any political or commercial entities. The entire campaign is based on the goodwill of volunteers who wish to participate in this campaign, a short but incredibly important.
Simulation of one hundred percent voting turnout in Israel vary by region and different population groups. Haredim traditionally have higher than average voter turnout, whereas the Arabs are lower than average. population of england To examine who benefits from an increase in the percentage of voting accurately, I decided to use detailed data about the level of ballot elections to the 18th, which I downloaded from here. My calculation is quite simple: I calculate the percentage of the vote in any polling, population of england and checks how many votes each party receives was he had a 100% voting population of england ballot, for all polling stations in the country, assuming that the distribution of votes was maintained in all the cards. population of england For example, let's population of england say at the ballot box Msoimmt registered 100 eligible voters, of whom 50 voted, 30 workers and 20 - Likud. Voter turnout is 50%. I divide the number of votes in the percentage of the vote, and get to work and 60 votes - 40 votes Likud for that ballot. The calculation can be seen in the attached Excel file here. The main assumption in the calculation population of england and the most problematic, is that the distribution of votes in each ballot has been retained voting percentage was increased to 100%. That is, in each voting area in the country, the views of those who did not vote like the views of those who do vote. This assumption can be very problematic if I were performing the test the city or county level, but as I make it to the polling station level, the neighborhood level, is somewhat less problematic. Discounts and other problems: not be deemed as consent surpluses of various kinds of parties, and therefore numbers of MKs about the true results of the election are wrong (for example, work has 13 seats, and March 3, and 12 and 4 - as shown in the table below), the results are the results of previous elections . the political map current bit different, so it is unclear how much can learn from the increase in the percentage of voting leads to the polls to 100% vote. This is not necessarily population of england realistic. example, a campaign 80% runs mainly on Facebook, and so is likely population of england to affect users of Facebook in the lower population than the upper which will affect some members of a Bedouin tribe in the Negev
Number of mandates received rounding, so the results for a few different than the results in percentages (column number of seats by the simulation comes down to not - but the MK 120 - 119, for the same reason.) Shows that the gain from an increase in the minimum threshold are Arab parties , Lieberman's population of england party, and the Front. Main losers are Kadima, Labor and United Torah Judaism. These somewhat surprising results; I expected that it was the ultra-Orthodox will be the losers move, but voter turnout among Shas voters apparently not so high. Overall picture does not change dramatically the vote, suggesting that the distribution of votes at the polls with a low voter turnout was not very different population of england from the distribution percentages polls high vote (when you factor in the numerical size of the polls).
Whether, in light of these data, we are interested in the percentage of the vote? There are people who representativeness and democratic values are superior to them, and for them the answer is positive regardless of the consequences. Others might be a little more concerned that the voting percentage growth population of england mainly increases the power of the far-left parties and the power of Lieberman (perhaps because voter turnout was low in the polls with a majority Russian). Despite the problem of the calculation, I think the results of which are still interesting, and contribute to the discussion on voter turnout in the State of Israel. Personally I of course support a zero percent vote and an absolute dictatorship under my leadership, but I have the feeling that the citizens of Israel are not yet ready to such a plan.
:-)
First, by simulation, the main beneficiaries are (except Lieberman, too) Hadash, United Arab List and Balad. It makes sense that the main reason is to reduce the percentage of the vote the least participation of Israeli-Palestinian elections, since the events of October in a sense, Since the election, they are relative to the sounds kosher, anyone population of england who suggests "giving voice" to all parties equally passed the threshold, so yes, indicate when it detracts from all the other parties.
Secondly, as you mentioned, there is a problematic assumption, the vote by city remains unaffected by 100% vote. This assumption the opposite assumption-not-an-based leftists of encouraging voting, non-voters that tend to the center and left. So if they do vote, vote by city changed as well.
Third, my conclusion remains larger participation can indeed change the results, "left", but only if the change will come M"hmgzr Arab. " To this end, the campaign needs to get out from Facebook Ha
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